Socioeconomic Conditions as Predictors of Short-term Fertility Intentions
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| Year of publication | 2025 |
| Type | Appeared in Conference without Proceedings |
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| Description | This paper uses survey data from the Czech Generations and Gender Survey to explore the relationships between individuals’ socioeconomic conditions and their short-term fertility intentions. Between 2020 and 2024, the total fertility rate in the Czech Republic declined, accompanied by a notable decrease in the annual number of births. Recent research on fertility intentions highlights the impact of individuals’ current socioeconomic status and perceptions of uncertainty, revealing how unfavorable conditions, polycrisis, and uncertain expectations can be linked to declining fertility plans. We analyze survey data from the first wave of Czech GGS-II (2020–2022), focusing on women aged 18–39. We compare the predicted probabilities of women intending or not intending to have a child in the next three years, based on the results from an ordinal logistic regression. The results reveal a general decline in short-term intentions between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conclude that socioeconomic conditions influenced short-term intentions in the Czech Republic between 2020 and 2022, during a period defined by multiple crises. |
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