Prognostické metody bezpečnostních fenoménů
| Title in English | Prognostic methods of security phenomenons |
|---|---|
| Authors | |
| Year of publication | 2012 |
| Type | Article in Proceedings |
| Conference | Bezpečnostné fórum 2012. Zborník príspevkov z V. medzinárodnej vedeckej konferencie. |
| MU Faculty or unit | |
| Citation | |
| Field | Political sciences |
| Keywords | Prognostics; delphi method; scenarios |
| Description | This article describes the basic terms used in prognostics (future studies, forecasting the future, prognosis, prediction, expert) and introduces selected prognostic methods and techniques which could be applied in security area (brainstorming, focus group, trend extrapolation, Delphi method, scenarios etc.). The basic classifications and prognosis typologies are mentioned as well. Particular phases of prognosis making are described too. |
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