The rise of populists and decline of others: Changes in public opinion and voter support in the Czech Republic.
|Druh||Další prezentace na konferencích|
|Fakulta / Pracoviště MU|
|Popis||Populist parties are able to get more and more votes and political power in the Czech Republic since 2010 elections. Regarding the Czech case, scholars give some attention to these changes but they are focusing mainly on the explanation of the electoral success of these parties through analysis of electoral results or national election studies. Recent literature indicates that electoral turn of individual voters towards populist parties is often an expression of dissatisfaction and it is also stimulated by the ability of these parties to pursue voters about their competence in solving of most important issues (see Havlík, Voda 2018). The proposed paper adds one more piece into an explanation of breakthrough of these parties. The question of the paper is about the role of external conditions. To be more specific, in the paper I put together changes in public opinion, especially measures of satisfaction and trust and some important “populist” issues such as immigration or corruption and changes of support for political parties also measured by opinion survey. The dataset includes also real condition of unemployment, inflation and immigration. I am interested in the relationship between changes in public opinion and changes of party support, whether populist parties in the Czech Republic benefit from the suitable environment (e.g. support for populists increases with increase of dissatisfaction with politics), or whether they can reframe not very suitable conditions. The analysis will be conducted on data from the survey “Our society” gathered in the monthly interval by Public Opinion Research Centre. Data will be aggregated into quasi-panel form and analyzed by regression analysis.|